Will Ripple’s $1 billion XRP treasury reshape the token?

• Ripple is preparing a $1B XRP treasury through a SPAC structure funded partly by its liquid XRP holdings and monthly escrow releases to build long-term reserves.
• The XRP treasury could absorb over 20% of visible exchange liquidity during accumulation, potentially influencing short-term price stability and market depth.

Ripple is advancing an XRP treasury plan sized at about $1 billion through a SPAC-like structure that would buy XRP over time, creating a steady source of demand alongside Ripple’s own sizable holdings and monthly escrow mechanics. Reports indicate Ripple would seed the vehicle with part of its roughly 4.7 billion liquid XRP, valued near $11 billion, while 35–36 billion XRP remain locked in on-ledger escrows that release one billion tokens each month, with around 60% typically re-locked. This approach pivots from supply restraint toward engineered inflows, positioning a dedicated buyer that accumulates XRP as a long-term reserve rather than relying only on issuance throttling to shape market conditions.

SPAC structure, Ripple’s holdings, and issuance mechanics

The funding route mirrors a traditional SPAC process: capital is raised in public markets and placed into a vehicle that later deploys proceeds toward a defined mandate, here the steady purchase of XRP for a dedicated treasury program. CoinDesk’s account ties the raise to a special-purpose setup and notes Ripple’s intent to contribute its own XRP, aligning corporate resources with the market absorption goal. That alignment matters because Ripple already controls a large share of the supply, holds billions of units as liquid inventory, and administers monthly escrow releases that make issuance predictable on chain. The blend of a SPAC structure and on-ledger escrow rules gives the initiative financing clarity and operational cadence, helping the XRP treasury execute with measured purchase schedules rather than irregular bursts. Ripple’s escrow framework has long provided a visible issuance path. Each month, one billion XRP unlocks, a substantial portion returns to escrow, and circulating supply grows more slowly than the headline release suggests. With the proposed XRP treasury, the emphasis would tilt toward market absorption: instead of just constraining outflows, the program would add a repeatable inflow that soaks up near-price liquidity. CryptoSlate summarizes the shift plainly: a DAT reframes supply policy as demand creation, which can change how short-term price discovery reacts to recurring bids.

What an XRP treasury would change in market structure

At recent reference prices near $2.30, a $1 billion allocation equals roughly 435 million XRP, or about 0.75% of the estimated 60 billion in circulation. Size alone does not decide outcomes, yet a dedicated buyer with discretion over timing can influence microstructure where order-book depth is thin. Exchange data compiled by CryptoSlate from CoinMarketCap shows that combined ±2% order-book depth across ten large venues, including Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, and Upbit, totals about $51 million. Against that context, a simple 90-day schedule implies around $11 million in daily purchases, already above 20% of visible near-price liquidity on many sessions. Even with OTC and algorithmic execution to reduce slippage, sustained bids of that size tend to firm intraday floors, compress spreads during accumulation windows, and nudge short-horizon momentum when resting liquidity does not refill quickly. Liquidity concentration also raises path-dependence risks. If market makers widen quotes during volatility or withdraw depth after sharp moves, a programmatic buyer can command more influence than its notional size suggests, particularly when the book shows gaps inside the ±2% band. CryptoSlate’s modeling—based on current depth and observed elasticity—suggests a slow 180-day deployment could absorb about 10% of visible depth and map to a 2–3% price lift from $2.30 toward roughly $2.35, a moderate 90-day run could absorb around 20% and map to a 6–8% lift toward roughly $2.45–$2.48, and an accelerated 45-day schedule could take 40%+ and map to a 12–15% lift toward about $2.55–$2.65. Those estimates are provisional and assume no large offsetting flows. They still illustrate how a scheduled XRP treasury bid can influence short-term valuations when order books are thin.

XRP treasury impact on liquidity, depth, and near-term price

Thin depth magnifies small imbalances. Across recent sessions, order-book conditions around XRP have shown that a few large sweeps can erase tens of millions from bid stacks and create air pockets that push prices through several increments before new liquidity appears. In that regime, a recurring buyer absorbs sell pressure, smooths drawdowns, and sets firmer floors during accumulation windows. If the XRP treasury pauses purchases, those supports fade, and secondary holders may sell into prior strength, retracing a portion of any mechanically driven gains. The interplay between scheduled demand and opportunistic supply creates a cycle: accumulation tightens spreads and lifts near-term prints; pauses or program completion invite mean reversion where resting bids no longer anchor the tape. Market context matters as well. The reported plan follows a year in which several listed “accumulator” models in crypto and adjacent strategies saw share price drawdowns during broad risk-off phases. A demand program can help price stability while it runs, yet it cannot fully offset macro shocks or sector-wide deleveraging. The XRP treasury therefore reads as one tool among several—alongside stablecoin initiatives like RLUSD and enterprise payment rails—to improve liquidity conditions and institutional comfort without guaranteeing trend outcomes on its own.

Copycat treasuries, prior attempts, and performance

The XRP treasury proposal would eclipse earlier single-asset reserves by scale, but it does not emerge in a vacuum. Over the past year, multiple firms explored XRP-centric balance-sheet strategies, including Singapore’s Trident Digital with a $500 million plan announced in June, Webus International pursuing $300 million in May for a chauffeur payments network, and smaller allocations from VivoPower International at about $121 million and Wellgistics near $50 million. Post-announcement stock performance for these issuers has often been weak, with declines of up to 70%, underscoring the gap between headline commitments and durable equity outcomes when execution lags or when markets de-risk. Some of those firms continue to build around XRP rails, treating the asset as working capital for cross-border liquidity rather than a short-term bet, yet the road from press release to functioning treasury operations remains uneven. If Ripple completes its fundraise and begins deployment, the combined features—predictable escrow releases, seeding from corporate holdings, and a repeatable buy program—would provide a live test of whether engineered demand can measurably change microstructure for longer than a few accumulation cycles. The program’s real-world effect will depend on execution pace, OTC share, and market responses by liquidity providers who can adjust inventory and spreads as flows become more predictable.

Conclusion

The proposed XRP treasury pairs a SPAC-style raise with a rules-based accumulation plan that leverages Ripple’s existing escrow cadence and liquid inventory to add a recurring source of demand near the market. At around $2.30 per token, $1 billion equates to about 435 million XRP, a size that can absorb a meaningful share of visible depth across major venues when spread over weeks rather than months. Earlier attempts by smaller firms show mixed equity results, yet they also map out operational playbooks that a larger, better-capitalized vehicle can refine. If the plan proceeds, short-term elasticity implies measured gains during active deployment and softer levels when purchases pause, with bigger drivers—macro and sector flows—still setting the wider trend around each accumulation window.

Disclaimer

The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The article does not offer sufficient information to make investment decisions, nor does it constitute an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. The content is opinion of the author and does not reflect any view or suggestion or any kind of advise from CryptoNewsBytes.com. The author declares he does not hold any of the above mentioned tokens or received any incentive from any company.

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