- Bitcoin experiences largest monthly drop since November 2022, declining by 14% in April.
- US spot ETFs witness net outflows of $182 million in April, compared to the previous month’s net inflow of $4.6 billion.
- Hong Kong’s Bitcoin and Ether spot ETFs debut disappoints, with low trading volume and minimal impact on prices.
Bitcoin, the original cryptocurrency, is experiencing its most challenging month since the collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX empire. As the initial excitement surrounding US exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for the largest digital asset fades, Bitcoin has seen a sharp decline of 14% in April. This drop marks the most significant monthly decrease since November 2022, when it slumped by 16%. The impetus provided by the US-ETF frenzy pushed Bitcoin to reach an all-time high of nearly $74,000 in March. However, as investor optimism wanes due to fading hopes of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts, the inflow of funds into these products has diminished significantly.
US-ETF Outflows and Market Impact
Throughout April, 11 US spot ETFs experienced net outflows totaling $182 million. This stands in stark contrast to the previous month when these funds witnessed a net inflow of $4.6 billion. The introduction of these ETFs by the US Securities and Exchange Commission in January had sparked widespread anticipation. Unfortunately, the much-anticipated Bitcoin halving, an event that historically acted as a price tailwind by reducing the supply of new coins in the market, had minimal impact following its occurrence on April 19.
Asia’s Role and Disappointing Debut of Hong Kong ETFs
Market observers had turned their attention to Asia, hoping for a fresh impetus. The spotlight was on the Bitcoin and Ether spot ETF listings in Hong Kong, but their Tuesday debut failed to inspire investor confidence. The six newly launched ETFs garnered a combined trading volume of only $11 million during the first session, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. This pales in comparison to the impressive $4.6 billion in total volume recorded by the 10 US spot-Bitcoin products during their debut.
Vetle Lunde, an analyst at K33 Research, noted that the market had harbored irrational expectations ahead of the Hong Kong ETF launch. The tepid demand from Hong Kong led to a further decline in the prices of Bitcoin and Ether, with the two largest cryptocurrencies falling by as much as 3.4% and 6.6%, respectively, on Tuesday. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $61,090, while Ether hovered around $3,000.
Ether’s Struggles and Legal Battles with the SEC
Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has experienced a significant decline of approximately 17% in April. This marks its most substantial monthly drop since June 2022. The US Securities and Exchange Commission intensified scrutiny on Ether in March, demanding information from various companies as part of its review process. Last week, Consensys, a crypto software company, filed a lawsuit challenging the SEC’s authority to regulate the Ethereum blockchain and Ether. This lawsuit adds to the ongoing legal battles between the crypto industry and the regulatory agency.
Analyst Vetle Lunde suggests that the drop in demand indicates the likelihood of increased volatility in the future. Lunde believes that the Hong Kong ETFs alone cannot reverse this trend. Even with the best-case estimates projecting inflows of 15,000-30,000 Bitcoin over the next year, equivalent to just two days’ inflows into BlackRock’s Bitcoin spot ETF in February, the impact may be insufficient to alter the current market trajectory.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s performance in April has presented numerous challenges for the cryptocurrency market. The decline in demand for risky investments, fading hopes of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts, and disappointing debut of the Hong Kong ETFs have all contributed to Bitcoin’s 14% monthly drop. Furthermore, Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency, faces its largest monthly decline since June 2022 and is embroiled in legal disputes with the SEC. The market’s reaction suggests the potential for increased volatility ahead. As the cryptocurrency landscape continues to evolve, investors and industry participants will closely monitor these developments, seeking opportunities amidst the shifting tides.
Disclaimer
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